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    Average 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Is At A Record Low: Who Is Buying?


    For the longest time, I’ve been a proponent of the adjustable rate mortgage (ARM). Paying a higher rate for a longer duration than necessary doesn’t make economic sense. However, with the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate now under 3%, the bias is no longer as heavily weighted towards adjustable rate mortgages.

    A 2.98% average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is so low, it must be spurring more people to buy homes.

    With a global pandemic still raging on, I am curious to know who is buying a home in this environment. Let’s read some homebuyer profiles of people taking advantage of record low mortgage rates.

    Average 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate At Record Low: Buyer Profiles

    The one thing every homebuyer or potential homebuyer has in common is that all of them have not been financially hurt by the pandemic. Instead, most are now wealthier during the pandemic than pre-pandemic. These people are taking advantage of the record low average 30-year fixed mortgage rate. Here are their stories.

    1) Big Tech Employee

    The NASDAQ is up over 20% year-to-date in 2020. Many of my tech colleagues are all looking to buy their first homes or upgrade homes. I work at Apple and Apple stock is up around 28%. As a result, my colleagues and I feel much richer today than we did before the pandemic began. It’s weird.

    One of the best moves I ever made was not going to a small start up three years ago. They were gonna give me huge equity that would’ve made me tremendously wealthy today if things panned out. However, the start up is struggling with cash flow, while Apple continues to dominate.

    With our net worth up ~20% in just six months, we decided to buy a bigger house for our family of five. The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate at under 3% is just icing on the cake. I’m gonna follow your advice and get a 7/1 ARM for 2.375% since we plan to pay off the home in 7 years.

    Turning stock market gains into a real asset feels great to me. We are not unique. Most of my tech friends are diversifying their stock gains into real estate.

    NASDAQ at record high, average 30-year fixed mortgage rate at record low means SF Bay Area real estate should be strong

    2) Sick & Tired Of Being Overly Frugal

    For over 10 years, I’ve been saving between 20% to 50% of my after-tax income. My income has also gone from $80,000 to $165,000 during this time frame. But I’m still renting a studio apartment from when I was 25 years old. I’m sick and tired of hoarding so much cash. What’s the point if I’m not going to spend it?

    Living in a studio apartment has helped me save about $160,000 in living expenses. At the same time, the studio apartment has also cost me money. If I had just bought a property I was looking at back in 2010 for $300,000, it would now be worth more than $500,000 today. I would have also gotten to enjoy a nicer place for all these years as well.

    Although I’m happy to have saved a lot over the past 10 years, I feel it’s now time to use my savings to improve the quality of my life. I’m 37 years old and want more space. I want to get married and start a family too. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate under 3% is too enticing to ignore.

    NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index - average 30-year fixed mortgage rate under 3% is helping the housing market

    3) Parents Who Plan To Permanently Work From Home

    With work from home likely becoming a permanent trend, I think it’s smart to try and buy a home now before open houses go back to the norm. Eventually, the economy will open up and buyers will return in droves.

    All of my friends with kids are fearful of venturing outside. They don’t want to get sick or their children sick. I have friends who are too scared to even set up a private showing because they don’t want to breathe the indoor air that other people have breathed.

    I can understand the fear, but come on. The death rate is so low, I think some people are overly precautious. Absolutely wear a mask out in public though. Be respectful of other people’s health.

    Now with the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage so cheap, I feel more people will eventually come around to buying.

    This debilitating mentality of not wanting to venture outside is eventually going to dissipate. When it does, I think bidding wars will be the norm again.

    We are looking to buy a home that has two separate areas where my husband and I can work privately. We are also looking for a home with a nice yard or deck. If there’s a view, even better.

    Finally, we already refinanced our existing primary home mortgage through Credible to get the lowest rate possible. Once we settle into our new home, we will then rent out our old home and generate passive income.

    The Average 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Is Under 3%

    4) It’s Now Cheaper To Buy Than To Rent

    The media likes to talk about a decline in rent prices without talking about a bigger decline in mortgage prices. Maybe this asymmetric reporting is a way for the media to try and “stick it to landlords” since the media knows that’s what readers like.

    However, if rent prices are down 10% and the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate is down 30%, then owning has become relatively more affordable. Like duh. Such an obvious comparison that everybody seems to be missing.

    In my city, buying is now cheaper than renting because mortgage rates have declined so much. There is a buying frenzy for starter homes and homes around our city’s median price.

    I’ve moved up the price curve, along with several of my friends to find better value. With more people spending time at home, there is logically going to be more demand for homes.

    5) I’m Buying Homes For My Children

    I have older friends whose adult children decided to break their lease and move back in with them. Frankly, after four months of sheltering-in-place, they are sick of their children!

    They want them out, paying their own rent, and experiencing more hardship. It’s this hardship that’s going to help make them stronger in the future. One friend regrets letting their son back home at all. Now, every time he faces a hardship, he fears his son will just want to come home.

    I figure, if rolling lockdowns are going to be the norm, then I would rather invest in properties today. The properties will be viewed as investments now and places for my children to stay in 15-20 years if needed. My kids are 7, 9, and 11.

    In 15-20 years, when my kids have jobs, I think they are going to wish I had bought more property today. In 15-20 years, I will probably have paid off at least one property as well. I’d like to lock an average 30-year fixed-rate for under 3% before an economic rebound.

    Given I’m investing for a 20+-year time horizon, I’m not worried about short-term price volatility. I know there’s risk to buying property now. But I’m seeing some relatively good deals.

    The Wealth Gap Will Likely Widen

    It is an incredibly weird time to buy real estate right now.

    On the one hand, there are tens of millions of people unemployed or underemployed. On the other hand, the average mortgage rate for all durations have hit record-lows. Meanwhile, millions of stock investors who held on now have record-high or close to record-high portfolios.

    After this recession is over, sadly, I’m positive the wealth gap will widen even further. If you’re out of a job, there’s no way you’re going to buy a house, let alone get preapproved for a mortgage. But if you have a job, you can take advantage of such great discounts.

    The cities that continue to have strong job prospects will likely get even more expensive over time. For every one person who leaves, there is likely going to be 1.2 people who take their place. The decision to relocate to the middle of nowhere to save money is now being over-hyped.

    Instead, we are creatures of habit. We like familiarity. If necessary, we will first look for cheaper places to live in our current cities. And we will find cheaper accommodations if we bother to look.

    The Best Type Of Mortgage To Get

    If you want, take out a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage for under 3%. I’ve got no more qualms about paying a higher rate. The spread between the 10-year Treasury yield and the 30-year fixed rate mortgage is declining again.

    Spread between 10-year Treasury and 30-year fixed-rate mortgage

    To pay off your loan quicker and save, consider getting a 15-year fixed mortgage for under 2.5%. If you have the cash flow, you’re going to feel great paying off your mortgage quicker.

    Finally, if you are like me, then you might prefer a 5/1, 7/1, or 10/1 ARM at 2.375% or less. I just love paying the lowest interest rate possible.

    I am completely gobsmacked that mortgages rates are so low.

    With stock market wealth almost back to all-time highs or much higher, it almost feels like investors are on cheat mode. Add on the fact that millions of people now get to make the same amount of money working from home, the housing market is likely to stay buoyant.

    Refinancing your mortgage now is clearly a no-brainer. Just make sure you own or live in your home for much longer than the breakeven point.

    If you can find a home that will improve the quality of your life, then buying a property today is probably going to work out fine in the long run. And if you can get a purchase price discount, even better.

    Readers, did you ever envision the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage declining to under 3%? If you are a real estate buyer in this market, I’d love to hear and feature your story!



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