google.com, pub-6007374308804254, DIRECT, f08c47fec0942fa0
More

    Do the Home Builders Need to Offer Mortgage Rate Buydowns to Make the Math Work?


    If you’ve been home shopping since early 2022 when mortgage rates surged higher, you’ve likely come across the buydown.

    The buydown is used to lower a home buyer’s mortgage rate, either temporarily or permanently.

    It can make the mortgage payment cheaper for the first few years of the loan term, or for the entire 30 years.

    These buydowns serve as an incentive to purchase a home, even if interest rates and home prices are high.

    And the home builders are all-in on them, partially because they don’t want to lower their prices. And maybe because they need to offer them to move product.

    Rate Buydowns Are Nice, But Might Even Be Necessary

    As mentioned, the home builders are big on mortgage rate buydowns, offering them in earnest since the 30-year fixed began climbing rapidly in early 2022.

    Before spring 2022, mortgage rates had been near record low levels, but once the Fed ended its mortgage-backed securities (MBS) purchasing program known as QE and starting raising the fed funds rate, conditions changed fast.

    The 30-year fixed was in the 3s to start 2022, and quickly increased to around 6% by the same summer.

    It eventually went as high as 8% before pulling back into the 6s.

    Meanwhile, home prices continued to rise, albeit at a slower clip than previously. This clearly dampened affordability, but home builders aren’t in the business of lowering their prices.

    Nor can they sit on their inventory like an individual can. They need to move their inventory.

    To solve this problem, they tackled the mortgage rate piece. They did so by offering mortgage rate buydowns.

    So if the going rate for a 30-year fixed was 7%, they’d offer a buydown for the first few years to make it more palatable.

    A common 3-2-1 buydown offers an interest rate 3% lower in year one, 2% lower in year two, and 1% lower in year three.

    This means 4%, 5%, 6%, and eventually 7% for the remainder of the loan term. While this could entice home buyers who could afford the 7% rate, there was a catch.

    Borrowers still need to qualify for the mortgage at the actual note rate, which in my preceding example is 7%.

    In other words, if the borrower couldn’t actually afford to buy the home with a 7% mortgage rate, using the lender’s max DTI calculations, they wouldn’t be able to purchase the property.

    As such, builders needed to get even more aggressive and ensure that note rate was lower too, not just the teaser rate in years 1-3.

    Many Builders Offer Combined Temporary and Permanent Rate Buydowns

    While the savings of a temporary rate buydown are a good incentive to buy a home, they are just that.

    If you want to actually qualify more home buyers, you need to get the note rate down for the entire loan term.

    This note rate is what banks and mortgage lenders use to qualify home buyers. Simply put, they can’t use a rate that’s only in place for a few years.

    That could put the borrower in a pickle once the rate increases back to the actual, higher rate.

    So they qualify them at the real mortgage rate, somewhat similar to short-term adjustable-rate mortgages, which can also adjust higher once the initial period ends.

    Knowing this, home builders have begun offering combo temporary/permanent buydowns to solve both the affordability piece and the incentive piece.

    Using my same example from above, the builder would maybe offer a 2/1 buydown instead with a permanent buydown attached.

    For example:

    Year 1: 3.875% rate
    Year 2: 4.875% rate
    Years 3-30: 5.875% rate

    Now, the lender can qualify the borrower at the 5.875% rate, since that’s the highest the rate will go during the entire 30-year loan term.

    And that could be the difference between an approved mortgage and a declined one.

    Lenders Are Required to Use the Note Rate for Mortgage Qualification

    Note that both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac require lenders to qualify the borrower at the note that.

    In the case of a temporary buydown, “the lender must qualify the borrower based on the note rate without consideration of the bought-down rate,” per Fannie Mae.

    If it’s a permanent buydown, “qualification is based on the monthly housing expense-to-income ratio calculated using the monthly payment at the permanent bought-down note rate,” per Freddie Mac.

    This might explain why many big home builders today are offering the temporary buydown AND the permanent one.

    They pique buyers’ interest with the low temporary rate, and make sure they qualify for the mortgage with the permanent bought-down rate.

    In the process, they can keep unloading their inventory and ensure prices don’t fall, despite eroding affordability.

    The home builders keep winning despite those 7% mortgage rates. And arguably home buyers get a decent payment too.

    Just pay attention to that purchase price if you’re a buying a newly-built home to ensure the low rate isn’t baked in.

    Colin Robertson
    Latest posts by Colin Robertson (see all)



    Source link

    Recent Articles

    Natural (but Stupid) Experiments? | Econbrowser

    Since the incoming administration has indicated the deportations will start on day one, I thought it of use to consider the sectoral impacts...

    First Foundation’s new CEO has history of priming banks to sell

    UPDATE: This story includes comments from analysts and more information about Thomas Shafer's track record.If the First Foundation...

    Some Links – Cafe Hayek

    TweetDavid Von Drehle celebrates George Will’s half-century of writing...

    Albo hit hard by home troubles

    Albo’s got some troubles on the home front. Picture: NewsWire / Martin Ollman The price guidance on the Dulwich Hill investment property listing of...

    Private sector banks evincing keen interest in selling loans exhibiting signs of incipient stress

    Private sector banks (PvSBs) are evincing keen interest in selling loans exhibiting signs of incipient stress (also known as special mention accounts/SMAs) to...

    Related Stories

    Leave A Reply

    Please enter your comment!
    Please enter your name here

    Stay on op - Ge the daily news in your inbox

    google.com, pub-6007374308804254, DIRECT, f08c47fec0942fa0
    google.com, pub-6007374308804254, DIRECT, f08c47fec0942fa0